Opinions converged on the essential _What are only predictions, estimates, based on incomplete or unreliable, one thing is certain: we will inevitably to a oil rare.
A rare oil so expensive, that will require painful energy conversions, especially since we did not prepared for the immense challenges ahead, that we barely achieve . Many crafts during this transition period, but no substantive discussion on the overall problem, globally. I
Nertez and lack of imagination. __The countdown has begun . In Cork, the former Chairman of Shell, Lord Oxburgh, predicted that demand exceeds production within 20 years and that the barrel could reach 150 dollars. "We will like sleepwalking into a problem that will be very serious, and it might be too late to do anything the day we will take fully aware " judge he .
It is highly likely that the peak oil is around 2011 , although experts are divided between (relatively) pessimistic and optimistic .
If new deposits are becoming exploited, they will be at a high cost, and increasing demand, with the development of China and India, oil could rise fast enough highs, pushing up prices automatically and establishing shortage.
As the Bernard Durand , " After a long period of silence, denial and concealment, it is suddenly widely recognized that the Peak Oil (Peak Oil) world, that is to say when the quantities of oil available for consumption worldwide will reach their maximum possible, will take place shortly. The global oil supply will then decrease, and the amount of oil available per person on the planet will decrease even faster. _ Provided is saying little about how this job will be divided between the consuming countries. In particular, how much of this cake in the process of shrinkage will be able to recover consumer countries has virtually no oil resources on their soil, as is the case most European countries? Because these countries can use to shop on the international market to meet its oil needs. _ Gold quantities of oil that will be placed on the market by exporting countries will necessarily decrease faster than their production: they will not only use one hand more and more of it it for their own development, but also their population will increase. They will also want to keep land in a part of their oil to preserve the future. _ This phenomenon is already underway, and it is expected that the quantities exported, which have already fallen by 5% from 2005 to 2010, declining from about 5% from 2010 to 2015 (Figure 1). Opinions differ on the following: the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas (ASPO ) expected to decline more rapidly, the International Energy Agency (IEA), still optimistic expects a near stagnant for another 20 to 30 years. "
_ He said the shortage advance strides. It is time to get out of our situation with blindness and denial. The responsibility is collective .
The National Assembly looks very late and very timidly on the problem.
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