An air of freedom blowing in the Mediterranean ______USA in trouble
__Il something happens on the banks of the Nile.
Effect Tunisian Yes and no. Cairo is Tunis.
A dislocation which is still difficult appreciate the true scale, become the outcome.
" I never experienced anything like what I saw Tuesday. Egyptians are presented as passive people, but now they took to the streets, this means that the cycle of fear was broken. "said Hisham Kassem , a militant Egyptian human rights, quoted by the Daily Telegraph
A wall falls anyway. A page of history opens our eyes.
A challenge fear, despite the repression, the difficulty federate .
"Egypt is on the cusp of great change" , thinks the writer Alaa Al Aswany ( 1). This can be opened to great advances or risk a terrible regression. Such a scheme to
bay is capable of anything. The worst is possible, but less and less likely ... The Egyptian army remains a powerful institution, even economically. It is divided, but determined. __ The Muslim Brotherhood , decimated, divided in crisis, apparently still can re-emerge from the shadows, stronger than ever. Social deprivation, which contributed to their success, not declining any time soon.
___Un volcano ready to explode long.
An autocratic power. Widespread corruption. Endemic poverty. A situation of acute crisis. A country empty stomachs . U No significant unemployment in the heart of the food crisis. A situation of
soaring prices, which was certainly the trigger, with the Tunisian example. "We bottomed " repeated many Egyptians.
sensitive effects in some neighboring countries. The Arab world seems to defy the wall of fear .
_________Mais ensure the U.S.. Partners like no other .
Last night, Obama used the waffle inviting Mubarak to the restraint, but avoiding the issues that upset ... His team entangled in Egypt.
The United States is increasingly worried . Because, for Uncle Sam, this country has a high geo-strategic importance in the Middle East. Since Sadat, the Egyptian diplomacy has contributed from Washington, which earned him recognition and dollars. In exchange for "stability" provided at all costs, fight anti-Islamic, support the neighboring Israeli link, she has spared no help.
But it is not without contradiction ...
__The U.S. seems determined to unleash their "bastard" undiplomatic in the words used, according to some sources:
_"... The CIA has long had a saying for some of the characters lurk it supports, dictators or sources disorders: C is a bastard. But it's our bastard. "The United States these days are faced with the delicate position of whether to continue supporting" their "bastard in Egypt, President Hosni Mubarak.
__Depuis thirty years, he has always given all the pledges that Washington expects him peaceful relations with Israel, restricting Islamist always ready to host an international summit of crisis (Sharm El-Sheikh has probably seen more diplomats than any other resort in the world) and the secret CIA flights to interrogate prisoners difficult ... In return Mubarak has benefited from the largesse of the U.S. Federal Treasury 1.3 billion dollars in direct military aid per year and 28 billion dollars in development assistance since 1975.
_Longtemps the second recipient of funds from Uncle Sam behind Israel, Egypt has been relegated guée fourth, not because the country has become less close, but because of other "allies" have grilled him unruly manners (Afghanistan and Pakistan). Thus, as anonymous says a former U.S. diplomat now working in private: "If the Egyptian army decides to pull the crowd to support the regime, it will do with guns and bullets American ...
" ___________-Wikileaks teaches us things we never suspected the double play Washington. The U.S. call today "orderly transition"
_ ".. . " Washington knows that Arab opinion is overwhelmingly hostile to him. But at the same time, many U.S. diplomats are aware that it is precisely this support for repressive regimes that is the source of this anti-Americanism. It is enough to plunge in diplomatic cables revealed by Wikileaks to realize that U.S. envoys have blinders on the eyes permanence._ " exist within the State Department, some number of diplomats who are convinced that many Arab regimes can not hold by force, because they are corrupt and they deny the aspirations of their youth , "says former State Department. " Therefore, they believe that we must begin to disengage it and support the reform movements, even drop our usual allies . " (Mediapart )
_________________Israël, it supports and finances, feared to be more isolated if the Egyptian regime falls . The pressures are Tel Aviv may be very strong, despite a wait Diplomatic.
The army supports the Head of State, which emerged from its ranks, but do not want the son succeeds the father .
-The erasure of the father, if held, will not be smooth, even if Obama pushed gently toward the door. But he is resisting, a DIVERSONS that will not convince the mass of Egyptians. A chance for Baradei ?
The eventual successor will be able to lay the foundation for a fledgling democracy, and overcome the provocations , Avoiding the chaos. What will the army ?
_________________________________
Egypt
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